Transcript for #87 – Richard Dawkins: Evolution, Intelligence, Simulation, and Memes

SPEAKER_00

00:00 - 02:52

The following is a conversation with Richard Dawkins, an evolutionary biologist and author of The Self is Gene, the blind watchmaker, the god delusion, the magic of reality, and the greatest show of earth and his latest, all-growing god. He is the originator and popularizer of a lot of fascinating ideas in evolution of biology and science in general, including funny enough the introduction of the word meme in his 1976 book, The Selfish Gene, which in the context of a gene-centered view of evolution is an exceptionally powerful idea. He's outspoken, bold, and often fearless in the defense of science and reason, and in this way is one of the most influential thinkers of our time. This conversation was recorded before the outbreak of the pandemic. For everyone feeling the medical, psychological, and financial burden of this crisis, I'm sending love your way. Stay strong. We're in this together. We'll beat this thing. This is the artificial intelligence podcast. If you enjoy it, subscribe by new tube, review it with five stars on appapodcast, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman spelled FRIDMAN. As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now, and never any ads in the middle that can break the flow of the conversation. I hope that works for you, and doesn't hurt the listening experience. This show is presented by CashApp, the number one finance app in the app store. When you get it, use CodeLuxSpotCast. CashApp lets you send money to friends, buy Bitcoin, and invest in the stock market with as little as $1. Since cash app allows you to send and receive money digitally, peer to peer, security in all digital transactions is very important. Let me mention the PCI data security standard that cash app is compliant with. I'm a big fan of standards for safety and security. PCI DSS is a good example of that. Or a bunch of competitors got together and agreed that there needs to be a global standard around the security of transactions. Now we just need to do the same for autonomous vehicles and artificial intelligence systems in general. So again, if you get cash app from the App Store Google Play and use the code Lex podcast, you get $10 and cash app will also donate $10 the first, an organization that is helping to advance robotics and STEM education for young people around the world. And now, here's my conversation with Richard Dawkins. Do you think there's intelligent life out there in the universe?

SPEAKER_01

02:52 - 04:18

Well, if we accept this intelligent life here and we accept the number of planets in the universe is gigantic. I mean, 10 to 22 stars have been estimated. It seems to me how you likely that there is not only life in the universe elsewhere, but also intelligent life. If you deny that, then you're committed to the views that the things that happened on this planet are staggeringly improbable. I mean ludicrously of the charts improbable and I don't think it's that improbable. Certainly the origin of life itself, they're really two steps, the origin of life, which is probably fairly improbable. And then the subsequent evolution to intelligent life, which is also preferable. So the juxtaposition of those two, you could say, is pretty improbable, but not tend to the 22 improbable. It's an interesting question, maybe you're coming on to it, how we would recognize intelligence from outer space if we encountered it. The most likely way we would come across them would be by radio. It's highly unlikely they'd have a visit us. But it's not, it's not that unlikely that we would pick up radio signals. And then we would have to have some means of deciding that it was intelligent. People have, people involved in the city program discuss how they would do it and things like prime numbers would be an obvious thing to. And I was an obvious way for them to broadcast to say, we are intelligent, we are here. I suspect it probably would be obvious actually.

SPEAKER_00

04:19 - 04:37

That's interesting prime numbers. So the mathematical patterns, it's an open question whether mathematics is the same for us as it would be for aliens. I suppose we could assume that ultimately if we're governed by the same laws of physics and we should be governed by the same laws of mathematics.

SPEAKER_01

04:37 - 04:43

I think so. I suspect that they will have Pythagoras theorem etc. I don't think that mathematics will be that different.

SPEAKER_00

04:43 - 04:48

Do you think evolution would also be a force on the alien planet?

SPEAKER_01

04:48 - 05:14

I stuck my neck out and said that if we do, if ever that we do discover life. elsewhere, it will be Darwinian life. In the sense that it will work by some kind of natural selection, the non-random survival of randomly generated codes. It doesn't mean it would have to have some kind of genetics, but it doesn't have to be DNA genetics, probably wouldn't be actually. But I think it would have to be Darwinian, yes.

SPEAKER_00

05:14 - 05:17

So some kind of selection process.

SPEAKER_01

05:17 - 05:19

Yes, in the general sense, it would be Darwinian.

SPEAKER_00

05:20 - 05:50

So let me ask kind of an artificial intelligence engineering question. So you've been an outspoken critic of I guess what could be called Intelligent Design, which is an attempt to describe the creation of a human mind, a body by some religious folks that really just folks used to describe. So broadly speaking evolution is as far as I know, again, you can correct me. It's the only scientific theory we have for the development of intelligent life. Like there's no alternative theory as far as I understand.

SPEAKER_01

05:50 - 05:53

None has ever been suggested, and I suspect it never will be.

SPEAKER_00

05:56 - 06:02

Well, of course, one of somebody says that a hundred years later. I know. It's a risk. It's a risk.

SPEAKER_01

06:02 - 06:05

But, um, what did that?

SPEAKER_00

06:05 - 06:49

I mean, I, I, I, what you would look, sorry, yes. It would probably look very similar, but it'd be, it's almost like Einstein's general relativity versus Newtonian physics. It'll be, maybe, um, an alteration of the theory or something like that, but it won't be fundamentally different. But okay. So now for the past 70 years, even before the AI community has been trying to engineer intelligence, in a sense to do what intelligent design says was done here on Earth. What's your intuition? Do you think it's possible to build intelligence to build computers that are intelligent or do we need to do something like the evolutionary process? There's no shortcuts here.

SPEAKER_01

06:50 - 07:15

That's an interesting question. I'm committed to the belief that is ultimately possible because I think there's nothing non-physical in our brains. I think our brains work by the laws of physics and so it must in principle be possible to replicate that. in practice though it might be very difficult and as you suggest it might it may be the only way to do it is by something like an evolutionary process.

SPEAKER_00

07:15 - 07:34

I'd be surprised I suspect that it will come but it's certainly been slower in coming than some of the early pioneers thought it would be yeah but in your sense is the evolutionary process efficient so you can see it is exceptionally wasteful in one perspective but at the same time maybe that is the only path

SPEAKER_01

07:34 - 08:10

It's a paradox, isn't it? I mean, on the one side, it is deplorably wasteful. It's fundamentally based on waste. On the other hand, it does produce magnificent results. When the design of a soaring bird and albatross has evolved to an eagle, is superb. An engineer would be proud to have done it. On the other hand, an engineer would not be proud to have done some of the other things that evolution has served up. Some of the sort of botched jobs that you can easily understand because of their historical origins, but they don't look well designed.

SPEAKER_00

08:10 - 08:12

Joe examples of that.

SPEAKER_01

08:12 - 10:31

Oh, bad design. My favorite example is that a current Larry and Jill nerve. I've used this many times. This is a nerve. It's one of the cranial nerves, which goes from the brain. And the end organ is that it supplies is the voice box, the larynx. But it doesn't go straight to the larynx. It goes right into the chest. And then loops round an artery in the chest and then comes straight back up again to the larynx. And I've assisted in the dissection of a giraffe's neck, which happened to have died in a zoo. And we watched the, we saw the recurrent laryngeal nerve going, whizzing straight past the larynx. within an inch of the larynx, down into the chest, and then back up again, which is a detail of many feet. Very, very inefficient. The reason is historical. The ancestors, our fish ancestors, the ancestors of all mammals and fish. The most direct pathway of the equivalent of that nerve. There was larynx in those days, but it innovated part of the gills. The most direct pathway was behind that artery. And then when the mammal when the tetrapods when the lamb vertebra started evolving and then the next started to stretch, the marginal cost. of changing the embryological design to jump that nerve over the artery, was too great. Or rather, was each step of the way. It was a very small cost, but the marginal, but the cost of actually jumping it over would have been very large. As the neck lengthened, it was a negligible change to just increase the length of the detail, or tiny bit of tiny bit of tiny bit, each millimeter to tiny, and making a difference. But finally, when you get to a giraffe, It's a huge detail, and no doubt is very inefficient. Now, that's bad design. Any engineer would reject that piece of did design is ridiculous. And there are quite a number of examples, as you would expect, it's not surprising that we find examples of that sort. In a way what's surprising is there aren't more of them, and a way what's surprising is that the design of living things is so good. So, natural selection manages to achieve excellent results. Partly by tinkering, partly by coming along and cleaning up initial mistakes. And as it were, making the best of a bad job.

SPEAKER_00

10:31 - 10:47

That's a really interesting thing. I mean, it is surprising and beautiful and it's a mystery from an engineering perspective that so many things are well designed. I suppose the thing we're forgetting is how many generations have to die for that.

SPEAKER_01

10:47 - 10:50

That's the inefficiency of it. Yes, that's the horrible wastefulness of it.

SPEAKER_00

10:51 - 11:16

So yeah, we marvel at the final product, but the process is painful. Elon Musk describes human beings as potentially the, what he calls the biological bootloader for artificial intelligence or artificial general intelligence as he uses the term as kind of like super intelligence. Do you see super human level intelligence as potentially the next step in the evolutionary process?

SPEAKER_01

11:16 - 11:59

Yes, I think that if super human intelligence is to be found, it will be artificial. I don't have any hope that we ourselves, our brains will go on go on getting larger in ordinary biological evolution. I think that's probably come to an end. It is the dominant trend, or one of the dominant trends in our fossil history for the last two or three million years. So it's been spilling rather dramatically over the last two or three million years. That is unlikely to continue there. The only way that happens is because natural selection favors. those individuals with the biggest brains. And that's not happening anymore.

SPEAKER_00

11:59 - 12:06

Right. So in general, humans, the selection pressures are not active. I mean, are they active in any form? Well,

SPEAKER_01

12:08 - 13:05

In order for them to be active, it would be necessary that the most intelligent intelligence, not that intelligence is simply coronation, is brain size, but let's talk about intelligence. In order for that to evolve, it's necessary that the most intelligent beings have the most individuals have the most children. So intelligence may buy you money, it may buy you worldly success, it may buy you a nice house and a nice car and things like that if you successful career. It may buy you the admiration of your fellow people, but it doesn't increase the number of offspring that you have. It doesn't increase your genetic legacy to the next generation. On the other hand, artificial intelligence, I mean, computers and technology generally is evolving by a non-genetic means, by leaps and bounds, of course.

SPEAKER_00

13:05 - 13:41

And so what do you think, I don't know if you're familiar with a company called NeuralLink, but there's a general effort of brain computer interfaces, which is to try to build a connection between the computer and the brain to send signals, both directions. And the long-term dream there is to do exactly that which is expand. I guess expand the size of the brain, expand the capabilities of the brain. Do you see this is interesting? Do you see this is a promising possible technology or is the interface between the computer and the brain? Like the brain is this wet messy thing that is just impossible to interface with.

SPEAKER_01

13:41 - 14:24

Well of course it's interesting whether it's promising, I'm really not qualified to say what I do find puzzling is that the brain being as small as it is compared to a computer and the individual components being as slow as they are compared to our electronic components. It is astonishing what it can do. Imagine building a computer that fits into the size of a human skull. And with the equivalent of transistors or integrated circuits which work as slowly as neurons do, it's just something mysterious about that. Something must be going on that we don't understand.

SPEAKER_00

14:25 - 15:06

So I've just talked to Roger Penner and I'm not sure he's familiar with this working. He also describes this kind of mystery in the mind, in the brain, that as you see, is a materialist. So there's no sort of mystical thing going on. But there's so much about the material of the brain that we don't understand. There might be quantum mechanical nature so on. So there are the ideas about consciousness. Do you have any, have you ever thought about, do you ever think about ideas of consciousness or a little bit more about the mystery of intelligence and consciousness that seems to pop up just like you're saying from our brain?

SPEAKER_01

15:06 - 15:17

I agree with Roger Penrose that there's a mystery there. I mean, he's one of the world's greatest physicists. I can't possibly argue with his.

SPEAKER_00

15:17 - 15:35

But nobody knows anything about consciousness. In fact, you know, if we talk about religion and so on, the mystery of consciousness is so awe-inspiring and we know so little about it that the leap to sort of religious or mystical explanations is too easy to make.

SPEAKER_01

15:36 - 15:48

I think that it's just an act of cowardice to lead to religious explanations, and what it doesn't do that, of course. But I accept that there may be something that we don't understand about it.

SPEAKER_00

15:48 - 16:12

So correct me from wrong, but in your book selfish gene, the gene centered view of evolution allows us to think of the physical organisms as just the medium through which the software of our genetics and the ideas sort of propagate. So maybe can we start just with a little basics? What in this context does the word meme mean?

SPEAKER_01

16:14 - 17:30

It would mean the cultural equivalent of a gene, cultural equivalent in the sense of that which plays the same role as the gene in the transmission of culture and the transmission of ideas in the broadest sense. And it's only a useful word if there's something Darwinian going on. Obviously culture is transmitted, but is there anything Darwinian going on? And if there is, that means there has to be something like a gene. which becomes more numerous or less numerous in the population. So it can replicate. It can replicate. Well, they clearly does replicate. There's no question about that. The question is, does it replicate in a sort of differential way in a Darwinian fashion? Could you say that certain ideas propagate because they're successful in the mean pool? In a sort of trivial sense, you can. Would you wish to say though that in the same way as a animal body is modified adapted to serve as a machine for propagating genes? Is it also a machine for propagating themes? Could you actually say that something about the way a human is? is modified, adapted for the function of beam propagation.

SPEAKER_00

17:30 - 17:47

That's such a fascinating possibility, if that's true. It's not just about the genes which seem somehow more comprehensible, like these things of biology. The idea that culture or maybe ideas, you can really broadly define it. Yes.

SPEAKER_01

17:48 - 18:16

April, in terms of these mechanisms. Even morphology, even anatomy. It does evolve by mimetic means of things like hair styles, styles of makeup, circumcision. These things are actual changes in the body form, which are non-genetic, and which get passed on from generation to generation, or sideways, like a virus, in a quasi-genetic way.

SPEAKER_00

18:16 - 18:41

But the moment you start drifting away from the physical, it becomes interesting because the space of ideas, ideologies, political systems. Of course, yes. So what in your, what's your sense? Is our memes are metaphor, more? Or are they really, is there something fundamental, almost physical presence of memes?

SPEAKER_01

18:41 - 19:23

Well, I think they're a bit more than a metaphor. And I think that, And I mentioned that physical bodily characteristics, which are trivial in a way, but when things like the propagation of religious ideas, both longitudinal down generations and transversely as in a sort of epidemiology of ideas when a charismatic preacher converts people. That resembles viral transmission, whereas the longitudinal transmission from grandparents to childhood, et cetera, is more like conventional genetic transmission.

SPEAKER_00

19:24 - 19:39

That's such a beautiful, especially in the modern day idea. Do you think about this implication and social networks where the propagation of ideas, the viral propagation of ideas, and hence the new use of the word meme that describes it?

SPEAKER_01

19:39 - 20:12

Well, the internet, of course, provides extremely rapid method of crowd ambition and before when when I first coined the word the internet didn't exist and so I was thinking then in terms of books newspapers, broader radio television and that kind of thing. Now an idea can just leap around the world in all directions instantly and so The internet provides a step change in the facility of propagation of means.

SPEAKER_00

20:12 - 20:54

How does that make you feel? Isn't it fascinating? That sort of ideas. It's like, you have a Galapagos islands or something. It's the 70s. And the internet allowed all these species to just like globalize. And a matter of seconds, you could spread a message to millions of people. And these ideas, these memes can breed, can evolve, can mutate. There's a selection and there's like different groups that are all like, there's a dynamics that's fascinating here. Do you think yes? Do you think your work in this direction, while fundamentally was focused on life, on earth, do you think it should continue?

SPEAKER_01

20:54 - 22:15

Well, I do think it would probably be a good idea to think in a Darwinian way about this sort of thing. We can mention you think of the transmission of ideas from an evolution context as being limited to in our ancestors, people living in villages living in small bands where everybody knew each other and ideas could propagate within the village and they might hop to a neighbouring village. occasionally and maybe even to a neighboring continent eventually. And that was a slow process. Nowadays villages are international. I mean, you have people, it's been called echo chambers where people are in a sort of internet village. where the other members of the village may be geographically distributed all over the world, but they just happen to be interested in the same things. Use the same terminology, the same jargon, have the same enthusiasm. So people like the Flat Earth Society. They don't live in one place, they find each other, and they talk the same language to each other, they talk the same nonsense to each other. But so this is a kind of distributed version of the primitive idea of people living in villages and propagating their ideas in a local way.

SPEAKER_00

22:15 - 22:24

Is there Darwinist parallel here? Is there evolutionary purpose of villages? Or is that just a

SPEAKER_01

22:24 - 22:33

I wouldn't use a word like he looked me purpose in that case, but villages or villages would be something that just emerged. That's the way people happen to live.

SPEAKER_00

22:33 - 22:43

And in just the same kind of way, the Flat Earth Society, society's ideas emerge in the same kind of way in this digital space.

SPEAKER_01

22:44 - 22:45

Yes, yes.

SPEAKER_00

22:45 - 23:06

Is there something interesting to say about the, I guess, from a perspective of Darwin, could we fully interpret the dynamics of social interaction and these social networks? Or is there, or some much more complicated thing need to be developed? Like what's your sense?

SPEAKER_01

23:06 - 23:34

Well, Darwinian selection idea would involve investigating which ideas spread and which don't. So, in some ideas, don't have the ability to spread. Flatter, earth is there a few people believe in it, but it's not going to spread because it's obviously nonsense. But other ideas, even if they are wrong, can spread because they are attractive in some sense.

SPEAKER_00

23:34 - 23:49

So the spreading in the selection in the Darwinian context is just as to be attractive in some sense. Like we don't have to define, it doesn't have to be attractive in the way that animals attract each other. It could be attractive in some other way.

SPEAKER_01

23:49 - 24:27

Yes, it's all matters. It's needed as it is spread. And it doesn't have to be true to spread. Intruth is one criterion which might help an idea to spread. But there are other criteria which might help a spread. As you say, attraction in animals is not necessarily valuable for survival. It doesn't help the peacock to survive. It helps it to pass on its genes. Similarly, an idea which is actually rubbish, but which people don't know is rubbish and think is very attractive will spread. in the same way as a peacock's gene spread.

SPEAKER_00

24:27 - 25:02

It's a small size step. I remember reading somewhere. I think recently that in some species of birds sort of they idea that beauty may have its own purpose and the idea that some Some birds, I'm being ineliquant here, but there's some aspects of their feathers and so on that serve no evolutionary purpose whatsoever. There's somebody who's making an argument that there are some things about beauty that animals do that may be its own purpose. Does that ring a bell for you?

SPEAKER_01

25:02 - 26:25

Is it sound ridiculous? He's rather distorted bell Darwin when he coined the phrase sexual selection. Yes. Didn't feel the need to suggest that what was attractive to females usually is male attractive females. The what females found attractive had to be useful. He said it didn't have to be useful. It was enough that females found attractive. And so it could be completely useless. Probably was completely useless in the conventional sense. but was not at all useless in the sense of passing on, you want out and didn't call them genes, but instead of reproducing. Others starting with Wallace, the code discoverer of that cross selection, didn't like that idea and they wanted sexually selected characteristics like peacock tales to be in some sense useful. It's a bit of a stretch to think of a peacock tale as being useful but in the in the sense of survival but others have run with that idea and have brought it up to date and so there's a kind of there are two schools of thought on sexual selection which are still active and about equally supported now. Those who follow Darwin in thinking that it's just enough to say it's attractive and those who follow Wallace and say that it has to be in some sense useful.

SPEAKER_00

26:25 - 26:29

Do you fall into one category or the other? No, I'm in your interview.

SPEAKER_01

26:29 - 26:39

I think they both could be correct in different cases. I mean, they both been made sophisticated in a mathematical sense, more and more so than when Darwin and Wallace first started talking about it.

SPEAKER_00

26:40 - 27:06

I'm Russian, I romanticized things, so I prefer the former, or the beauty in itself as a powerful, so attraction, as a powerful force and evolution. Unreligion. Do you think there will ever be a time in our future, or almost nobody believes in God, or God is not a part of the moral fabric of our society?

SPEAKER_01

27:08 - 27:13

Yes, I do. I think it may happen all for a long time. I think it may take a long time for that to happen.

SPEAKER_00

27:13 - 27:25

So do you think ultimately for everybody on earth, religion, other forms of doctrines ideas could do better job than what religion does?

SPEAKER_01

27:25 - 27:29

Yes. I mean, following truth.

SPEAKER_00

27:29 - 27:55

Well, truth is a funny, funny word in reason, too. There's yeah it's it's difficult idea now with them. truth on the internet, right, and fake news and so on. I suppose when you say reason, you mean the very basic sort of in arguable conclusions of science versus which political system is better.

SPEAKER_01

27:55 - 28:10

Yes, yes. I mean truth about the real world, which is ascertainable by not just by the more rigorous methods of science, but by just ordinary sensory observation.

SPEAKER_00

28:10 - 28:26

So do you think there will ever be a time when we move past it. Like, I guess in other way to ask it, are we hopelessly fundamentally tied to religion in the way our society functions?

SPEAKER_01

28:26 - 28:41

Well, clearly, all individuals are not hopelessly tied to it, because many individuals don't believe. You could mean something like society needs religion in order to function properly, something like that. And some people have suggested that.

SPEAKER_00

28:41 - 28:42

Some people are intuition on that.

SPEAKER_01

28:43 - 29:18

Well, I read books on it and they're persuasive. I don't think they're that persuasive, though. I mean, some people suggested that society needs a sort of figurehead which can be a non-existent figurehead in order to function properly. I think there's something rather patronizing about the idea that, well, you and I are intelligent enough not to believe in God, but the pleb's needed sort of thing. And I think that's patronizing and I'd like to think that that was not the right way to proceed.

SPEAKER_00

29:18 - 29:57

But at the individual level, do you think there's some value of spirituality, sort of, if I think, sort of as a scientist, the amount of things we actually know about our universe is a tiny, tiny, tiny percentage of what we could possibly know. So just for everything, even the certainty we have about the laws of physics, it seems to be that there's yet a huge amount of discover. And therefore we're sitting where the 99.99% of things are just still shrouded in mystery. Do you think there's a role in a kind of spiritual view of that sort of a humble spiritual view?

SPEAKER_01

29:57 - 30:57

I think it's right to be humble. I think it's right to admit that there's a lot we don't know a lot that we don't understand a lot that we still need to work on. We are working on it. What I don't think is that it helps to invoke supernatural explanations. What we if aren't if are current scientific explanations aren't adequate to do the job, then we need better ones. We need to work more. And of course, the history of science shows just that, that as science goes on, problems get solved one after another, and the science advances as science gets better. But to invoke an non-scientific non-physical explanation isn't clear to lie down in a cowardly way and say we can't solve it so again to invoke magic. Don't let's do that. Let's say we need better science. We need more science. It may be that the science will never do it. It may be that we will never actually understand everything. And that's okay. But let's keep working on it.

SPEAKER_00

30:57 - 31:22

A challenging question there is do you think science can lead us astray in terms of the humbleness? So there's some aspect of science. Maybe it's the aspect of scientists and that science, but of sort of a mix of ego and confidence that can lead us astray in terms of discovering some of the big open questions about the universe.

SPEAKER_01

31:22 - 32:03

I think that's right. arrogant people in any walk of life and a scientist and no exception to that. And so there are arrogant scientists who think we've sold everything and course we haven't. So humility is a proper stance for a scientist. I mean, it's a proper working stance because it encourages further work. But in a way to resort to a supernatural explanation is a kind of arrogance because it's saying, well, we don't understand it scientifically. Therefore, the non-scientific religious supernatural explanation must be the right one. That's arrogant. What is humble is to say, we don't know. And we need to work further on it.

SPEAKER_00

32:03 - 32:39

So maybe if I get psychoanalyzed for a second, you have at times been just slightly frustrated with people who have a supernatural Has that changed over the years? Have you become how do people that kind of have seek supernatural explanations? How do you see those people as human beings? Do you see them as dishonest? Do you see them as sort of ignorant, do you see them as, I don't know, is it like what we're talking about?

SPEAKER_01

32:39 - 33:28

No, I mean, how do you think of certainly not not dishonest? And I mean, obviously, many of them are perfectly nice people, so I don't, I don't sort of despise them in that sense. I think it's often a misunderstanding that people will jump from the admission that we don't understand something. They will jump straight to what they think of as an alternative explanation, which is the supernatural one, which is not an alternative. It's a non-explanation. Instead of jumping to the conclusion that science needs more work that we need to actually get to do some better science. I mean, personal and typical words such people, I just think they're misguided.

SPEAKER_00

33:28 - 34:17

So what about this really interesting space that I have trouble with? So religion, I have a better grasp on, but there's a large communities like you said flatter, a community that I've recently, because I've made a few jokes about it. I saw that there's, I've noticed that there's people that take it quite seriously. So there's this bigger world of conspiracy theorists, which is a kind of, I mean, there's elements of it that are religious as well, but I think they're also scientific. So the basic credo of a conspiracy theorist is to question everything, which is also the credo of a good scientist, I would say. So what do you make of this?

SPEAKER_01

34:17 - 34:44

I mean, I think it's probably too easy to say that by labeling something conspiracy, you therefore dismiss it. I mean, occasionally conspiracy is a right. And so we shouldn't dismiss conspiracy theories out of hand. We should examine them on their own merits. Flat earth is a misobvious nonsense. We don't have to examine that much further. But there may be other conspiracy theories which are actually right.

SPEAKER_00

34:44 - 35:30

So I've grew up in the Soviet Union, and the space race was very influential for me and both sides of the coin. There's conspiracy theory that we never went to the moon, right? It's like I can understand it and it's very difficult to rigorous the scientifically show one way or the other. You have to use some of the human intuition about who would have to lie, who would have to work together. It's clear that very unlikely, behind that is my general intuition that most people in the world are good. You know, in order to really put together some conspiracy theories, there has to be a large number of people working together and essentially being dishonored.

SPEAKER_01

35:30 - 36:01

Yes, which is improbable. The sheer number would have to be in on the conspiracy and the sheer detail, the attention, the detail they'd have had to have had and so on. I'd also can worry about the motive. And why would anyone want to suggest that it didn't happen? What's the... Why is it so hard to believe? I mean, the physics of it, the mathematics of it, the idea of computing orbits and trajectories and things, it all works mathematically. Why wouldn't you believe it?

SPEAKER_00

36:01 - 36:22

It's a psychology question because there's something really pleasant about You know, pointing out that the emperor has no clothes when everybody, like, you know, thinking outside the box and coming up with the true answer where everybody else is diluted. There's something. I mean, I have that for science, right? You want to prove the entire scientific community wrong.

SPEAKER_01

36:22 - 36:47

That's a whole... No, that's right. And of course, historically. Learn geniuses have come out right sometimes, yes, but often people with the thing that they're a learning genius whom much more often turn out not to. So you have to judge each case on its merits. The mere fact that you're a maverick, the mere fact that you're going against the current tide doesn't make you right. You've got to show your right by looking at the evidence.

SPEAKER_00

36:47 - 37:14

So because you've focused so much on religion and disassembled a lot of ideas there, and I was wondering if you have ideas about conspiracy theory groups because it's such a prevalent even reaching into presidential politics and so on. It seems like it's a very large community that believe different kinds of conspiracy theories. Is there some connection there to your thinking on religion? Or is it a matter?

SPEAKER_01

37:14 - 37:32

It's an obvious difficult thing. I don't understand why people believe things that are clearly nonsense like Well, flat earth, and also the conspiracy about not landing on the moon, or that the United States engineered 9-11, that kind of thing.

SPEAKER_00

37:32 - 37:37

So it's not clearly nonsense.

SPEAKER_01

37:37 - 38:54

It's extremely unlikely. The religion is a bit different because it's passed down from generation to generation. So many of the people are religious. got it from their parents, you got it from their parents, you got it from their parents and childhood indoctrination is a very powerful force. But these things like the 9 or 11 conspiracy theory, the Kennedy assassination conspiracy theory, the man on the moon conspiracy theory, these are not childhood indoctrination. These are presumably dreamed up by somebody who then tells somebody else, who then wants to believe it. And I don't know why people are so eager to fall in line with some just some person that they happen to read or meet, who's been some yarn. I can kind of understand why they believe what their parents and teachers told them when they were very tiny and not capable of critical thinking for themselves. So I sort of get why the great religions of the world like Catholicism and Islam go on for his persistence because of childhood indoctrination. But that's not true of flatterism. And sure enough, flatterism is a very minority cult.

SPEAKER_00

38:55 - 39:50

way larger than I ever realized well, yes, I know, but so that's a really clean idea and you've articulated a new book and then and I'll grown God and then God delusion is the early indoctrination. That's really interesting. You can get away with a lot of out their ideas in terms of religious texts, if the age, which you convey those ideas the first, is a young age. So, indoctrination is sort of an essential element of propagation of religion. So let me ask on the morality side in the books that I mentioned, God delusioned, I'll go and God. You described that human beings don't need religion to be moral. So from an engineer perspective, we want to engineer morality into AI systems. So in general, where do you think morals come from in humans?

SPEAKER_01

39:50 - 41:39

Very complicated and interesting question. It's clear to me that the moral standards, the moral values of our civilization changes as the decades go by, certainly as the centuries go by, even as the decades go by. And we in the 21st century are quite clearly labeled 21st century people in terms of our moral values. There's a spread. Some of us are a little bit more ruthless, some were more conservative, some were more liberal and so on. But we all subscribed to pretty much the same views when you compare us with, say, 18th century, 17th century people, even 19th century, 20th century people. We are much less racist, we're much less sexist and so on. Then we used to be some people are still racist and some are still sexist, but the spread has shifted that the Gaussian distribution has moved and moves steadily as the centuries go by. And that is the most powerful influence I can see on our moral values. And that doesn't have anything to do with religion. I mean the religion of the it's the morals of the Old Testament are Bronze Age models models that deplorable. And they are to be understood in terms of the people in the desert who made them up at the time. And so humans sacrifice. And I for nine or two for a tooth petty revenge killing people for breaking the Sabbath all that kind of thing inconceivable.

SPEAKER_00

41:40 - 41:47

No. So at some point religious texts may have in part reflected that God's indistribution at that time. Oh, I did.

SPEAKER_01

41:47 - 41:49

I'm sure they always reflect that.

SPEAKER_00

41:49 - 41:59

Yes. And then now, but the sort of almost like the meme as you describe it of ideas, moves much faster than religious texts to the new religion.

SPEAKER_01

41:59 - 43:27

Yeah. So basically your moral is on religious texts, which isn't millennia ago. Yeah. It is not a great way to proceed. I think that's pretty clear. So not only should we not get our morals from such texts, but we don't. We quite clearly don't. If we did, then we'd be discriminating against women and we'd be racist, we'd be killing homosexuals and so on. So we don't, and we shouldn't. Now of course it's possible to By the to use your 21st century standards of morality and you can look at the Bible and you can cherry pick a particular verse is which conform to our modern morality and you'll find that Jesus says a pretty nice things which is great but You're using your 21st century morality to decide which verses to pick which verses to reject and so why not cut out the middleman of the Bible and go straight to the 21st century morality which is Where that comes from is a much more complicated question. Why is it that morality, moral values change as the centuries go by they undoubtedly do? And it's a very interesting question to ask why it's another example of cultural evolution, just as technology progresses. So moral values progress for probably very different reasons.

SPEAKER_00

43:27 - 43:36

But it's interesting if the direction in which the progress is happening has some evolutionary value or if it's merely a drift that can go into any direction.

SPEAKER_01

43:36 - 43:54

I'm not sure it's any direction and I'm not sure it's evolution really valuable. What it is is Progressive in the sense that each step is it's step in the same direction as the previous step. So it becomes more gentle, more decent, as my modern standard is more liberal. Less violent.

SPEAKER_00

43:54 - 44:09

It's a bit more decent. I think you're using terms and interpreting everything in the context of the 21st century because Genghis Khan would probably say that this is now more decent because we're now You know, there's a lot of weak members of society. Exactly.

SPEAKER_01

44:09 - 44:22

They were not part of it. I was careful to say by the stands of the 21st century. By our standards, if we with hindsight look back at history, what we see is a trend in the direction towards us, towards our present. Right.

SPEAKER_00

44:23 - 44:38

I present value for us we see progress, but it's it's an open question whether that won't you know what I don't see necessarily why we can never return to gain this contact well we could I suspect we won't but it but

SPEAKER_01

44:39 - 45:07

If you look at the history of moral values over the centuries, it is in a progressive, I use the word progressive, not in a valued judgment sense, in the sense of a transitive sense. Each step is the same direction of the previous step. So things like, we don't derive entertainment from torturing cats. We don't derive entertainment from like the Romans did in the Coliseum from

SPEAKER_00

45:10 - 46:16

or rather, or rather we suppress the desire to get, I mean, to have play. It's probably in us somewhere. So there's a bunch of parts of our brain, one that probably, you know, limbic system that wants certain pleasures and that's, I mean, I, I wouldn't have said that, but you're, you're a liberty to think that. When I look at this, there's a damn caroline of hardcore history. There's a really nice explanation of how we've enjoyed watching the torture of people, the fighting of people, just the torture, the suffering of people throughout history as entertainment until quite recently. And now everything we do is sports, we're kind of channeling that feeling into something else. I mean, there's some dark aspects of human nature. There are underneath everything. And I do hope this like higher level software we've built will keep us at bay. Yes. I'm also Jewish and have a history with the Soviet Union and the Holocaust. And I clearly remember that some of the darker aspects of human nature creeped up there.

SPEAKER_01

46:16 - 46:28

They do, they have been, they have been steps back was admittedly and the Holocaust is always one. But if you take a broad view of history, it's the same direction.

SPEAKER_00

46:28 - 46:53

So Pamela McCordic and Machines who think has written that AI began with the ancient wish to forge the gods. DC, it's a poetic description I suppose, but DC connection between our civilizations historic desire to create gods to create religions and our modern desire to create technology and intelligent technology.

SPEAKER_01

46:53 - 47:24

I suppose there's a link between an ancient desatta. explain a way mystery and science, but well intelligence, artificial intelligence, creating God's creating new gods. And I forget why I read some of our somewhat facetious paper which said that we have a new god is called Google and and we we we pray to it and we worship it and we and we ask its advice like an oracle and so on.

SPEAKER_00

47:24 - 47:36

That's fun and we you don't see that you see that as a fun statement for seizures they may you don't see that as a kind of truth of us creating things that are more powerful than ourselves. And that also.

SPEAKER_01

47:36 - 47:47

It has a kind of poetic resonance to it, which I get. But I wouldn't have bothered to make the point myself for that way.

SPEAKER_00

47:47 - 47:52

So you don't think AI will become our new religion and you got Google.

SPEAKER_01

47:52 - 49:23

Well, yes. I mean, I can see that the future of intelligent machines or indeed intelligent aliens from outer space might yield beings that we would regard as gods in the sense that they are so superior to us that we might as well worship them. That's highly plausible, I think. But I see a very fundamental distinction between a god who is simply defined as something very, very powerful and intelligent on the one hand, and a god who doesn't need explaining by a progressive step-by-step process, like evolution, or like engineering design. So the difference, suppose we did meet an alien from outer space, who was marvelously magnificently more intelligent than us, and we would sort of worship it for that reason. Nevertheless, it would not be a God in the very important sense that it did not just happen by to be there like God is supposed to. It must have come about by a gradual step-by-step incremental progressive process, presumably like Darwinian evolution, that's all the difference in the world between those two intelligence Design comes into the universe late as a product of a progressive evolutionary process or a progressive engineering design process.

SPEAKER_00

49:23 - 49:48

So most of the work is done through this slow moving exactly progress. Exactly. Yeah. Yeah. But there's still this desire to get answers to the wide question. If the world is a simulation, if we're living in a simulation, that there's a programmer like creature that we can ask questions of this question. OK.

SPEAKER_01

49:48 - 50:31

Well, let's pursue the idea that we're living in a simulation, which is not totally ridiculous, by the way. There we go. Then you still need to explain the programmer. The programmer had to come into existence by some, even if we're in a simulation, the programmer must have evolved. Or if he's in a sort of, or she, if she's in a metacimulation, then the meta-mesor program must have evolved by a gradual process. You can't escape that. Fundamentally, you've got to come back to a gradual incremental process of explanation to start with.

SPEAKER_00

50:31 - 50:54

There's no shortcuts in this world. But maybe to linger on that point about the simulation, do you think it's an interesting, basically talk to board the heck out of everybody asking this question, whether you live in a simulation? Do you think, first, do you think we live in a simulation? Second, do you think it's an interesting thought experiment?

SPEAKER_01

50:54 - 51:40

It's certainly an interesting thought experiment. I first met it in a science fiction novel by Daniel Galloy called Counterfeit World, in which it's all about, I mean, our heroes are running a gigantic computer, which simulates the world. And something goes wrong. And so one of them has to go down into the simulated world in order to fix it. And then the day no more of the thing the climax to the novel is that they discover that they themselves are in another simulation at a higher level. So I was intrigued by this and I love others of Daniel Gallois' science fiction novels. Then it was revived seriously by Nick Bostrum.

SPEAKER_00

51:40 - 51:44

We lost from talking to him in an hour. Okay.

SPEAKER_01

51:44 - 51:54

And he goes further, not just treated as a science fiction speculation. He actually thinks it's positively likely. I mean, they think it's very likely, actually.

SPEAKER_00

51:54 - 52:01

Well, he makes a probabilistic argument which you can use to come up with very interesting conclusions about the nature of this universe.

SPEAKER_01

52:01 - 52:33

I mean, he thinks that we're in a simulation done by such a big kind of sentence of the future, the products, but it's still a product of evolution. It's still ultimately going to be a product of evolution, even though the super intelligent people of the future have created our world and you and I are just a simulation and this table is a simulation and so on. I don't actually, in my heart of hearts, believe it, but I like his argument.

SPEAKER_00

52:33 - 52:51

Well, so the interesting thing is that I agree with you, but the interesting thing to me, if I were to say, if we're living in a simulation, that in that simulation to make it work, you still have to do everything gradually, just like you said. Even though it's program, I don't think there could be miracles.

SPEAKER_01

52:51 - 53:04

Well, no, I mean, the program, the higher up the upper ones have to have involved gradually. However, the simulation they create could be instantaneous. I mean, it could be switched on and we come into the world with fabricated memories.

SPEAKER_00

53:05 - 53:28

True, but what I'm trying to convey, so you're saying the broader statement, but I'm saying from an engineering perspective, both the programmer has to be slowly evolved and the simulation because it's like, oh yeah, from an engineering perspective. Oh yeah, it takes a long time to write a program. No, like just I don't think you can create the universe in a snap. I think you have to grow it.

SPEAKER_01

53:29 - 54:25

Okay, well, that's a good point. By the way, I have thought about using the Nick Bostrum idea to solve the riddle of how we were talking, we were talking earlier about why the human brain can achieve so much. I thought of this when my then hundred-year-old mother was marveling at what I could do with it with a smartphone. And I could, you know, call it, look up anything on the inside to pee there. I could play her music that she liked and so on. She said, all in that in that tiny little film, no, it's out there. It's in the cloud. And maybe what most of what we do is in a cloud. So maybe if we are a simulation, then all the power that we think is in our skull, it actually may be like the power that we think is in the iPhone. Um, but was that actually out there in an interface to something else?

SPEAKER_00

54:25 - 54:36

Yeah. I mean, that's what people for the, um, including Roger Pernrose with Penn Psychism that consciousness is somehow fundamental part of physics that it doesn't have to actually all reside inside it.

SPEAKER_01

54:36 - 54:42

But Roger thinks it does reside in in the skull, whereas I'm suggesting that if it doesn't, that it doesn't, that it doesn't, that

SPEAKER_00

54:43 - 55:21

There's a cloud. That'd be a fascinating notion. An a small tangent. As you familiar with the work of Donald Hoffman, I guess, maybe nothing is named correctly, but just forget the name, the idea that there's a difference between reality and perception. So like we biological organisms perceive the world in order for the natural selection process to be able to survive and so on. But that doesn't mean that our perception actually reflects the fundamental reality, the physical reality underneath.

SPEAKER_01

55:21 - 57:06

Well, I do think that although it reflects the fundamental reality, I do believe there is a fundamental reality. I do think that what our perception is constructive in the sense that we construct in our minds a model of what we're seeing. And so this is really the view of people who work on visual illusions like Richard Gregory, who point out the things like a necker cube. which flip from a two-dimensional picture of a cube on sheet of paper. We see it as a three-dimensional cube and it flips from one orientation to another at regular intervals. What's going on is that the brain is constructing a cube. But the sense data are compatible with two alternative cubes. And so rather than stick with one of them, it alternates between them. I think that's just a model for what we do all the time when we see a table, when we see a person, when we see anything. We're using the sense data to construct or make use of a perhaps previously constructed model. I noticed this when I meet somebody who actually is a friend of mine, but until I kind of realized that it is him, he looks different and then I finally clocked that it's him. his features switch like a neck and cube into the familiar form. As it were, I've taken his face out of the filing cabinet inside and grafted it onto or used the sense data to do to invoke it.

SPEAKER_00

57:06 - 57:46

Yeah, we do some kind of miraculous compression and this whole thing to be able to filter most of the sense data and makes it and makes sense. That's just a magical thing that we do. So you've written several many amazing books, but let me ask what books technical or fiction or philosophical had a big impact on your own life? What books would you recommend people consider reading in their own intellectual journey? Darwin, of course, and the original, I've actually a shame to say I've never read Darwin.

SPEAKER_01

57:46 - 58:21

He's a universally prescient, because considering he was writing the middle of the 19th century, Michael Giesel and said he's working 100 years ahead of his time, everything except genetics is amazingly right and amazingly far ahead of his time. And of course, you need to read the updatings that have happened since his time as well and he would be astonished by Well, let alone what's in a creek, of course. But he was astonished by Mendelian genetics as well.

SPEAKER_00

58:21 - 58:24

He was fascinated to see where he started by a deer.

SPEAKER_01

58:24 - 58:46

He would think about a deer. I mean, yes, it would. Because in many ways, it clears up what appeared in his time to be a riddle. The digital nature of genetics clears up what was a problem, what was a big problem. Gosh, there's so much that I could think of. I can't really find it.

SPEAKER_00

58:46 - 58:58

Is there something outside sort of more fiction? Is there when you think young? Was there books that just kind of outside of kind of the realm of science, religion? Yes, religion. They just kind of sparked your... Yes.

SPEAKER_01

58:58 - 01:00:25

Well, actually, I have, I suppose I could say that I've learned some, some science from science fiction. I mean, I mentioned Daniel Galloy, and that's one example, but another of his novels called Dark Universe, which is not terribly well known, but it's a very very nice science fiction story. It's about a world of perpetual darkness. And we're not told at the beginning of the book, why these people are in darkness. They stumble around in some kind of underground world of caverns and passages using echolocation like bats and whales to get around. And they were adapted presumably by Darwinian means to survive in perpetual total darkness. But what's interesting is that their mythology, their religion, has echoes of Christianity, but it's based on light. And so there's been a fall from a paradise world that once existed, where light reigns supreme. And because of the sin of mankind, light banished them. So they no longer are in light's presence, but light survives in the form of mythology and in the form of saying like they're great, light or mighty, or if a light's sake don't do that. And I hear what you mean, rather than I see what you mean.

SPEAKER_00

01:00:25 - 01:00:30

So some of the same religious elements are present in this other totally absurd, different form.

SPEAKER_01

01:00:30 - 01:02:52

Yes. And so it's a wonderful, I wouldn't call it set up because it's too good nature for that. Wonderful, parable about Christianity and the theological doctrine of the fall. So I find that kind of science fiction immensely stimulating. Fred Hoyles, the Black Cloud, oh, by the way, anything by Arthur C. Clarke, I find very, very wonderful too. Fred Hoyles, the Black Cloud, his first science fiction novel, where he, well, I learned a lot of science from that. It has itself a from an obnoxious hero, unfortunately, but apart from that. You learn a lot of science from it. Another of his novels, A for Andromeda, which by the way, the theme of that is taken up by Carl Sagan's science fiction novel, another wonderful writer, Carl Sagan, content where the idea is, again, we will not be visited from outer space by physical bodies. We will be visited possibly. We might be visited by radio. But the radio signals could manipulate us. and actually have concrete influence on the world. If they make us persuade us to build a computer, which runs their software. So they can then transmit their software by radio. And then the computer takes over the world. And this is the same theme in both Hoylesburg and Sagan's book. I presume I don't want to say a new but Hoylesburg probably did. And it's a clever idea that we will never be invaded. by physical bodies, the war of the worlds of HG worlds will never happen. But we could be invaded by radio signals, it code, code it information, which is sort of like DNA. And we are, we are, I call them, we are survival machines of our DNA. So it has great resonance for me because I think of us, I think of bodies, physical bodies, biological bodies. as being manipulated by coded information DNA, which has come down through generations.

SPEAKER_00

01:02:54 - 01:03:21

And in the space of memes, it doesn't have to be physical. It can be transmitted to the space of information. That's a fascinating possibility that from out of space, we can be infiltrated by other memes, by other ideas, and thereby controlled in that way. Let me ask the last, the silliest, or maybe the most important question, what is the meaning of life? What gives your life a filament purpose?

SPEAKER_01

01:03:21 - 01:04:51

Okay, what happens to me? From a scientific point of view, the meaning of life is the propagation of DNA, but that's not what I feel. That's not the meaning of my life. So the meaning of my life is something which is probably different from yours and different of other peoples, but we each make our own meaning. So we set up goals, we want to achieve, we want to write a book, we want to do whatever it is we do right up. quartet, we want to win a football match. And these are short-term goals. Well, maybe even quite long-term goals, which are set up by our brains, which have goal-seeking machinery built into them. But what we feel, we don't feel motivated by the desire to pass on our DNA mostly. We have other goals, which can be very moving, very important. They could even be called spiritual, in some cases. We want to understand the riddle of the universe. We want to understand consciousness. We want to understand how the brain works. These are all noble goals. some of them can be noble goals anyway and they are a far cry from the fundamental biological goal which is the propagation of DNA but the machinery that enables us to set up these high-level goals is originally programmed into us by that cross-election of DNA.

SPEAKER_00

01:04:51 - 01:05:02

The propagation of DNA, but what do you make of this unfortunate fact that we are mortal? Do you ponder your immortality? Does it make you sad?

SPEAKER_01

01:05:02 - 01:05:58

It makes me sad that I shall have to leave and not see what's going to happen next. If there's something frightening about mortality apart from sort of missing, as I've said, something more deeply, darkly frightening. It's the idea of eternity. But eternity is only frightening, he feels there. Eternity before we were born, billions of years before we were born. And we would effectively dead before we were born. As I think it was Mark Twain said, I was dead for billions of years before I was born and never suffered the smallest inconvenience. That's how it's going to be after we leave. So I think of it as really, eternity is a frightening prospect. And so the best way to spend it is under a general anesthetic, which is what it will be.

SPEAKER_00

01:05:58 - 01:07:28

Beautifully put. Richard is a huge honor to meet you to talk to you. Thank you so much for your time. Thank you very much. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Richard Dawkins. Thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App. Please consider supporting the podcast by downloading Cash App and using code, Lex podcast. If you enjoyed this podcast, subscribe on YouTube, review with 5,000 Apple podcasts, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman. And now, let me lead you with some words of wisdom from Richard Dawkins. We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones. Most people are never going to die because they're never going to be born. The potential people who could have been here in my place, but who will in fact never see the light of day outnumber the sand grains of Arabia. Certainly, those unborn ghosts include greater poets than Keats, scientists greater than Newton. We know this because the set of possible people allowed by RDNA so massively exceeds the set of actual people. In the teeth of these stupifying odds, it is you and I, in our ordinaryness that are here. We privileged few who won the lottery of birth against all odds. How dare we whine at our inevitable return to that prior state, from which the vast majority have never stirred? Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.